If people were expecting a tight, down to the wire race in the Democratic mayoral primary in Syracuse, you may want to think again. A new exclusive YNN-Siena Research Poll is in on the Democratic mayoral runoff. As YNN's Bill Carey reports, incumbent Stephanie Miner seems to be headed toward a win.
SYRACUSE, N.Y. -- "She is well liked by democrats. And she is way ahead. I would say, at this point, the primary is very much Mayor Miner's to lose," said Steve Greenberg, Siena Research Institute.
The numbers back up Greenberg's conclusion. Among Democrats likely to cast a ballot in the September 10 primary, the mayor draws the support of 56 percent of those questioned.
Her closest opponent, councilor Pat Hogan has support from 22 percent. Activist Alfonso Davis' support is pegged at 10 percent.
While the opponents raise questions about the mayor's performance, the voters questioned seem somewhat satisfied with her work. Asked if they have a favorable view of the mayor, 66 percent of Democrats say favorable.
On almost every issue, from fighting crime to improving education, voters think Miner will do a better job than Hogan or Davis.
"When a chief executive is running and voters think that, largely, things are headed in the right direction, when they like the incumbent and they think the incumbent is doing a good job, and would do a better job on the issues than his or her opponents, then that is a really tough feat to take down that incumbent," said Greenberg.
The survey does show one potential problem ahead for the mayor as she seeks her second term. Voters were asked whether she should be re-elected or if someone else should win the job as mayor.
Greenberg said, "Among the entire electorate, including republicans and independents in Syracuse, her numbers there are pretty soft. 46 percent of all voters in Syracuse say they're prepared to re-elect the mayor. 41 percent say they would prefer to have someone else. So, depending on who the republicans line up, assuming Miner wins the primary on September 10th, there is no question that this could turn into an interesting race."
Republicans have yet to name a candidate. Their chairman says he's still searching.
Exclusive YNN-Siena Research Institute Poll
The full results can be viewed here.